With Farm Laws Being Repealed, BJP Hopes To Recover Crucial Ground In Punjab, Pacify The Ire Of Jats In Western UP Before Assembly Elections

With BJP's campaign for the upcoming Assembly Polls gaining steam, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's announcement on the repealing of the three farm laws underlines the ruling party's imperative to make amends and infuse a fresh momentum in its political drive, especially in the efforts to retain its throne in Uttar Pradesh. Modi making the announcement on the birth anniversary of Sikhism founder Guru Nanak, one of the holiest days in the Sikh calendar, quoting their last Guru Gobind Singh to stress on his intention to do good work and referring to the happy development of the reopening of Kartarpur Sahib corridor are a pointer to this political motivation.

While the party will hope to make a fresh political start in Punjab in an expected alliance with Singh, who has been urging the government to take measures to end the protests, its stakes are the highest in Uttar Pradesh where it had won an unprecedented 312 seats in the 403-member assembly in 2017. With sections of Jats seemingly angry with the BJP and even several Jat leaders of the party admitting to slide in their fortunes in the western UP, where the community is concentrated, the region was seen as a roadblock in its efforts to repeat its 2017 show in the upcoming polls, more so as the Samajwadi Party had joined hands with the Rashtriya Lok Dal to pose a united challenge.

The killing of eight people, including farmers, in Lakhimapur in Uttar Pradesh last month had added to the BJP's woes as the opposition and farmer unions had alleged the role of Union minister Ajay Misra 'Teni', whose son remains under arrest in the case.

The decision to roll back the farm laws will go a long way in placating the community, which had backed the saffron party wholeheartedly in the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha polls besides the 2017 assembly polls, and may queer the opposition's pitch for forging a social alliance of Jats and several smaller communities with Muslims, another numerically strong group in the region, against the BJP, its leaders hope.

However, an RLD leader claimed that the farm laws' repeal will embolden the opposition and drive home the message of unity against the BJP, as the decision shows the government can be made to bend by popular protests. The BJP had lost its traditional ally Shiromani Akali Dal following the farm bills' passage in Parliament in September last year and was facing increasing marginalisation in the Sikh-majority state of Punjab. Its leaders routinely faced protests in the state and, to a lesser extent, in Haryana as well where Jats made a common cause with Sikh farmers against the laws which they alleged will leave them at the mercy of market forces and dismantle government support systems like mandis and Minimum Support Price mechanism, a charge repeatedly denied by the government.

With the laws now set to be buried, the BJP hopes to recover lost ground in Punjah with its likely new partner Singh. Besides Punjab and Uttar Pradesh, Goa, Uttarakhand and Manipur are also headed to the polls early next year but these protests have had little mass impact in states outside the north Indian region.

The BJP sources, further noted,  that the party has won a number of electoral contests, including the Assam assembly elections, and by-elections and local polls in different parts of the country, after the passage of the farm laws. Modi, they added, has repeatedly highlighted his reverence for Sikh gurus and respect for the community in general.

The government has taken steps to celebrate 350th birth anniversary of Guru Gobind Singh, 550th birth anniversary of Guru Nanak Dev and 400th anniversary of Guru Tegh Bahadur, they said, indicating that his announcement is aimed at defusing the protests among Sikh farmers and restore calm in Punjab.

With PTI Inputs