Most political pundits believe that the immediate danger of collapse is in Madhya Pradesh where the Nath government’s survival depends on the loyalty of two MLAs of the BSP, three independent legislators and one SP MLA. In the state assembly polls held in December last year, the Congress had won 114 seats, stopping two legislators short of a simple majority in a house of 230 members. It managed a simple majority with the support of the BSP, SP and independent MLAs. However, soon after the Lok Sabha results, wherein the Congress managed to win only a lone seat among the state’s 29 constituencies, the Leader of Opposition in the MP Assembly, Gopal Bhargava, had declared that the Nath government had lost confidence and would collapse soon. Similar prophecies of doom were made by other BJP leaders, including the party’s strongman from Indore and national general secretary, Kailash Vijayvargiya.