Only An Encore In Hindi Will Do

Lok Sabha 2014

284 ⁄ 332

Gujarat

26 ⁄ 26

• As BJP barely made it to power in the 2017 assembly polls, it may lose some seats in 2019

• How far can CM Vijay Rupani manage to regain lost ground?

• Will the Union Budget’s pro-poor, pro-farmer push increase BJP’s popularity?

Rajasthan

25 ⁄ 25

• The rout in byelections signals a reverse sweep against BJP

• Will the BJP replace Vasundhararaje before elections?

• Will the 2014 trend reverse ­completely in favour of the Congress in 2019?

Uttar Pradesh

73 ⁄ 80

• The unknown BSP factor: Will Mayawati join the SP-Congress alliance?

• Performance of CM Yogi Adityanath will be a factor

• Will Ram Mandir save the day for BJP?

Bihar

31 ⁄ 40

• Laloo Yadav in jail may work against RJD-Congress alliance

• Nitish Kumar’s JD(U), which later became a BJP ally, won two seats on its own

• Will “mausam vaigyanik”—a Lalooism to describe Ram Vilas Paswan—remain a BJP ally?

Madhya Pradesh

27 ⁄ 29

• Anti-­incumbency works against Shivraj Singh Chouhan

• Whatever the assembly poll ­results later this year, a clean sweep for BJP is not likely in 2019

• Congress is a divided house with three leaders working against one another

Maharashtra

42 ⁄ 48

• Will Shiv Sena remain in ­alliance with BJP or go it alone as it has threatened?

• Will NCP leader Sharad Pawar fight alone, making it a four-corner contest again?

• Will CM Devendra Fadnavis’ work override Maratha sentiments?

Chhattisgarh

10 ⁄ 11

• A repeat performance seems unlikely with strong anti-incumbency

• Congress’ state unit is almost defunct with no leadership

• The Ajit Jogi factor: Whose votes will his party eat into?

Jharkhand

12 ⁄ 14

• Difficult for BJP to repeat its 2014 performance as the Opposition may have gained

• Can BJP overcome the ­infighting and discontent among the MLAs against the CM?

• If JMM, Congress and RJD come together, it will be a big challenge

Karnataka

17 ⁄ 28

• Siddaramaiah is giving a good fight to BJP and taking on PM Narendra Modi

• Caste combination in the state is in his favour

• Will B.S. Yediyurappa be able to provide sound leadership to BJP?

Assam

7 ⁄ 14

• With a strengthened ­organisation in the state, BJP may ­improve its performance

• The publication of National Register of Citizens (NRC)—seen as protecting Assam’s identity­—may help BJP

• Strong presence of RSS cadres

Delhi

7 ⁄ 7

• A genuine three-corner contest on the cards

• BJP unlikely to repeat a clean sweep

• AAP and Congress may eat into each other’s votes

Haryana

7 ⁄ 10

• Manohar Lal Khattar’s poor ­performance as CM

• Corruption cases against Congress leader and former CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda

• Leadership crisis in Congress with Ashok Tanwar and R.S. Surjewala contending with Hooda

*The figures include BJP’s allies during the general election