The consequences of my being correct are dire, again in a political economy sense. Get used to the idea that the ministry of finance has run out of intelligence, analysis, and initiative. The finance minister himself admitted as much. In Bombay, he said that he "was surprised" at Moody's downgrading and the market reaction. So, our finance ministry now cannot anticipate even the most predictable events. Despite the presence of a chief economic advisor, various other professional underlings, a technocrat finance secretary and of course, the IAS—our modern, technically competent 21st century civil service (dream away)—the FM is "surprised". Clearly these worthies have not grasped the first principle of political economy—that political credibility involves not shooting your mouth off, and presenting a policy picture that does not contradict publicly observable facts. For many years, Indian policy-makers successfully avoided doing this. Not any more, clearly.