Exit Poll Results 2024: Modi Govt 3.0? Major Pollsters Project '400 Paar' For BJP-led NDA

The exit polls are predictions based on voter feedback collected by survey agencies after polling. Although these predictions are not always accurate and have faced criticism in the past, the aim to reflect the public sentiment of the actual results announcement.

As per the Election Commission's rules, there is a strict prohibition on exit polls during voting. However, they can be published 30 minutes after the last vote is cast.

The exit polls today are expected to start coming in after 6:30 pm. READ MORE ABOUT EXIT POLLS

News channels will begin broadcasting the predictions by 6:30-7 pm, which will also be live-streamed on various social media platforms, like X and YouTube.

You can also track the live updates here on OutlookIndia.com.

In 2019, pollsters had predicted around 285 seats for the NDA. However, proving them wrong, the BJP-led alliance secured a landslide victory with 353 seats, with BJP alone winning 303 seats. The Congress won 52 seats, and its UPA won 91 seats.

In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the NDA was estimated to win around 257-340 seats, but they won 336 seats. Experts believe that the accuracy of exit polls has improved over the years.

The exit poll projections for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance from 2019 were:

India Today-Axis My India: 339-365

News24-Today's Chanakya: 350

Times Now-VMR: 306

News18-Ipsos: 336

CVoter: 287

India News-Polstrat: 287

The exit poll projections for the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance from 2019 were:

India Today-Axis My India: 77-108

News24-Today's Chanakya: 95

Times Now-VMR: 132

News18-Ipsos: 82

CVoter: 128

India News-Polstrat: 128

Poll strategist Prashant Kishor predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to get around 300 seats in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, saying that there is no widespread anger against Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

However, he said that it was impossible for the BJP to get 370 seats. READ WHAT MORE PRASHANT KISHORE SAID HERE.

Psephologist Yogendra Yadav predicted fair challenges for the BJP-led NDA in securing victory. He suggested that the BJP might struggle to exceed 260 seats alone, One India cited Yadav as saying, adding that it could be "impossible" for the saffron camp to even reach the 300 mark.

Reportedly, the strategist predicted that the BJP might fall below 275 or even 250 seats.

He further anticipated that Congress could win somewhere between 85 and 100 seats, which is a fair increase from 52 seats that it bagged in the 2019 general elections.

Resharing psephologist Yogendra Yadav's predictions, poll strategist Prashant Kishor took to X and said, "@_YogendraYadav ji, a trusted face among those who understand elections and socio-political issues in the country, has shared his “final assessment” of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections."

"According to Yogendra ji, in these elections, BJP may get 240-260 seats and NDA allies may get 35-45 seats. Meaning BJP / NDA may get 275-305 seats," he said, adding that "272 seats are required to form a government in the country and BJP/NDA has 303/323 seats in the outgoing Lok Sabha. (Shiv Sena won 18 seats as part of NDA but is no longer with them)."

Kishor said that the people can judge for themselves as to whose government "is being formed". "You will know on 4 June who is talking about whom," he added.

Senior Congress leader Shashi Tharoor took to X and called Yogendra Yadav's predictions to be "fascinating".

He said that Yadav "has revised his earlier estimates and now says that the BJP will definitely fall short of 272. He tells Karan Thapar that the BJP could go down to 250, but if the undercurrent is strong it could even fall further to 230."

"Mr. Yadav says he expects the rest of the NDA to win between 35 to 40 seats. This means that if the BJP were to fall as low as 230 it will not be able, even with the support of the rest of the NDA, to reach the 272 majority mark. Interesting times ahead!" Tharoor added.

Ahead of the exit poll projections and results of the Lok Sabha elections, OpenAI -- the company behind ChatGPT -- on Friday claimed that an Israel-based company tried to generate comments against ruling BJP in India during May, allegedly to interfere with the 18th Lok Sabha elections in the country with the use of AI but they were able to act on it within 24 hours.

A report published by OpenAI stated that a political campaign management firm called STOIC, based in Israel, created some content related to the Indian elections as well as the Gaza conflict but the company's swift action led to no significant audience increase. READ MORE

The Congress on Friday announced that they have decided to not participate in any Lok Sabha exit poll debates on television channels, saying that they do not want to indulge in 'speculation and slugfest for TRP'.

"The Indian National Congress will not participate in the debates on Exit Polls. The purpose of any debate should be to inform the people. We will happily partake in debates from 4th June onwards," said Congress spokesperson Pawan Khera. FULL STORY HERE

Voting for the seventh and last phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections is underway. A voter turnout of 50 per cent was recorded till 3 pm.

As voting for the seventh phase is underway, let's look at the voter turnout recorded by the Election Commission for the first 6 phases.

The voter turnout was 66.14 per cent in Phase, 66.71 in Phase 2, 65.68 in Phase 3, 69.16 in Phase 4, 62.2 in Phase 5 and 63.36 per cent in Phase 6.

Day after the Congress said that it would not participate in any exit poll debates on television channels, the grand old party's spokesperson has now said that the INDIA bloc parties will participate.

"INDIA parties met and decided to expose the bjp and its ecosystem on the prefixed exit polls," Khera said in a post on X.

"After considering factors for and against participating in the exit polls, it has been decided by consensus that all the INDIA parties will participate in the exit poll debates on television this evening," he added.

As the Lok Sabha Elections 2024 come to an end, political consultant and tactician Prashant Kishor has made a prediction for the ruling Bharatiya Janta Party. Kishor's predication also comes hours before the exit polls for the 2024 general elections are set to begin.

Hours before Exit Polls 2024, Prashant Kishor has predicated that the BJP will come back for a third term as the government. FULL STORY HERE

BJP leader Shaina NC said, "Congress has accepted their defeat otherwise they wouldn't have ignored the exit polls...they just keep raising questions about EVM, exit polls, this shows that they have lost."

"In history, BJP is coming back to power for the third time which means there is no anti-incumbency...if you can't accept victory and defeat equally, then you need introspection," she added.

After the INDIA bloc leaders' meeting, Congress national president Mallikarjun Kharge said, "...INDIA Alliance will win at least 295 seats."

"We are united, and we will remain united. Don't try to divide us," Kharge added.

Former Madhya Pradesh chief minister and BJP leader Shivraj Singh Chouhan reacted to Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge's prediction of "INDIA bloc winning 295 seats" and said, "Let him say this for the next two-three days. After this, he will says 'it was EVM's fault'. The BJP will win 370 seats and the NDA will cross the 400-seat mark."

CPI General Secretary D Raja said, "The decision is that we must be very alert during the counting process. We must alert our counting agents how they must be vigilant... On this issue, we are likely to meet the election commission. Once the election commission gives the time tomorrow, our leaders will meet the EC... The election results are coming out, it is going to be one-sided... We will win 295+ seats..."

Congress leader Syed Naseer Hussain said, "The magic number is 272. We are getting more numbers than that. We are forming the government. This is based on the feedback... There was a committee meeting again and it is decided that we will participate (in the Exit Polls debate)..."

Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal, after the INDIA bloc's meeting, told reporters that their grouping "is getting 295+ seats", adding that the "BJP will win around 220 seats and the NDA alliance will 235 seats."

"INDIA alliance will form a strong and stable government on its own. (The PM face) will be decided on June 4," Kejriwal added.

Union Minister Gajendra Singh Shekhawat said, "Even before the election process started, we were confident that the nation will choose Narendra Modi as the Prime Minister(for third term) and the government of BJP will be formed with strong majority...BJP will secure a hattrick."

Voting for the seventh and final phase of the Lok Sabha elections have concluded.

The voter turnout percentage as per the Election Commission at 5 pm stood at:

All over approximate voter turnout: 58.34%

Bihar: 48.86%

Chandigarh: 62.80%

Himachal Pradesh: 66.56%

Jharkhand: 67.95%

Odisha: 62.46%

Punjab: 55.20%

Uttar Pradesh: 54%

West Bengal: 69.89%

As the 7th phase of polling for General Elections 2024 concludes, the Election Commission of India thanks all the stakeholders -- voters, polling personnel, security forces, media and political parties.

Axis My India to INDIA Bloc: 26-30

CNN to INDIA - 36-39

India News - D Dynamics says

NDA: 371

INDIA: 125

OTH: 47

Republic Bharat's P Marq gives

NDA: 359

INDIA: 154

OTH: 30

Axis My India predicts 33-37 seats for the INDI alliance in Tamil Nadu. It has projected 2-4 seats for NDA in the southern state.

Republic Bharat-Matrize says

NDA: 353-368

INDIA: 118-133

OTH: 43-48

Axis My India for Karnataka

NDA: 23-25

INDIA: 3-5

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Kerala

NDA: 2-3

UDF: 17-18

LDF: 0-1

OTH: 0

TV5 Telugu for Lok Sabha elections

NDA: 359

INDIA: 154

OTH: 30

Today's Chanakya For Uttarakhand Lok Sabha Polls

BJP: 5 ± 1 Seats

Congress: 0 ± 1 Seats

Others: 0

Jan Ki Baat projections for Lok Sabha elections 2024:

NDA: 362-392

INDIA: 141-161

OTH: 10-20

Here are the national projections of pollsters for the Lok Sabha elections so far:

India News - D Dynamics

NDA: 371

INDIA: 125

OTH: 47

Jan Ki Baat

NDA: 362-392

INDIA: 141-161

OTH: 10-20

Republic Bharat-Matrize

NDA: 353-368

INDIA: 118-133

OTH: 43-48

Republic TV - P MARQ

NDA: 359

INDIA: 154

OTH: 30

TV 5 Telugu

NDA: 359

INDIA: 154

OTH: 30

NDTV Poll of Polls

NDA: 365

INDIA: 142

OTH: 36

You can track the live exit poll projections for the Assembly Elections here at OutlookIndia.com

Axis My India for Bihar

NDA: 29-33

INDIA: 7-10

OTH: 0-2

Pollster Jan Ki Baat projects

NDA: 377

INDIA: 151

OTH: 15

Today's Chanakya For Gujarat

BJP: 26 ± 2 Seats

Congress: + 0 ± 2 Seats

Others: NIL

Today's Chanakya For Chhattisgarh

BJP: 11 ± 1 Seats

Congress: 0 ± 1 Seats

Others: NIL

Today's Chanakya For Assam

BJP: + 12 ± 2 Seats

Congress: + 1 ± 1 Seats

Others: 1 ± 1 Seats

Today's Chanakya projections for the national capital are:

BJP: 6 ± 1 Seats

Congress: +1 ± 1 Seats

Others: NIL

Projections for Madhya Pradesh from Today's Chanakya are:

BJP: 29 ± 2 Seats

Congress: +0 ± 2 Seats

Others: NIL

Axis My India for Jharkhand

NDA: 8-10

INDIA: 4-6

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Chhattisgarh

NDA: 10-11

INDIA: 0-1

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Rajasthan

NDA: 16-19

INDIA: 5-7

OTH: 1-2

According to Chanakya exit poll Analysis, BJP is projected to get 12 out of 14 seats in Jharkhand and all four seats of Himachal Pradesh.

Today's Chanakaya for Haryana

BJP: 6 ± 2 Seats

Congress: +4 ± 2 Seats

Others: NIL

Today's Chanakya for Himachal Pradesh

BJP: 4 ± 1 Seats

Congress: 0 ± 1 Seats

Others: NIL

Today's Chanakaya for Maharashtra

BJP: +33 ± 5 Seats

Congress: +15 ± 5 Seats

Others: NIL

News Nation projections for Lok Sabha elections

NDA: 342-378

INDIA: 153-169

OTH: 21-23

Dainik Bhaskar projections for Lok Sabha polls

NDA: 281-350

INDIA: 145-201

OTH: 33-49

Today's Chanakya projections for Odisha

BJP: 16 ± 3 Seats

BJD: 4 ± 2 Seats

Congress: +1 ± 1 Seats

Others: NIL

Axis My India projections for Goa

NDA: 1

INDIA: 1

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Rajasthan

NDA: 16-19

INDIA: 5-7

OTH: 1-2

Axis My India for Gujarat

NDA: 25-26

INDIA: 0-1

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Delhi

NDA: 6-7

INDIA: 0-1

OTH: 0

Today's Chanakya projections for Karnataka

BJP: +24 ± 4 Seats

Congress: 4 ± 4 Seats

Others: NIL

Today's Chanakya projections for Telangana

BJP: 12 ± 2 Seats

Congress: 5 ± 2 Seats

BRS: NIL

Others: 0 ± 1 Seats

Today's Chanakya projections for Andhra Pradesh

TDP: +22 ± 3 Seats

YSR Cong: 3 ± 3 Seats

Congress: + NIL

Others: NIL

As voting for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections concluded today, Prime Minister Narendra Modi took to X to thank the voters.

"India has voted!" he said, "A heartfelt thank you to all those who exercised their franchise. Their active participation is the cornerstone of our democracy. Their commitment and dedication ensures that the democratic spirit thrives in our nation.

"I would also like to specially appreciate India’s Nari Shakti and Yuva Shakti. Their strong presence at the polls is a very encouraging sign," he added.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi said that he is confident that the people of India voted to reelect the NDA government.

In his post on X, the PM said, "I can say with confidence that the people of India have voted in record numbers to reelect the NDA government. They have seen our track record and the manner in which our work has brought about a qualitative change in the lives of the poor, marginalised and downtrodden."

"At the same time, they have seen how the reforms in India have propelled India to being the fifth largest global economy. Every scheme of ours has reached the intended beneficiaries without any bias or leakage," he added.

As voting for the Lok Sabha elections ended today, Prime Minister Narendra Modi took to X and took a swipe at the INDIA bloc.

He said, "The opportunistic INDI Alliance failed to strike a chord with the voters. They are casteist, communal and corrupt. This alliance, aimed to protect a handful of dynasties, failed to present a futuristic vision for the nation."

"Through the campaign, they only enhanced their expertise on one thing- Modi bashing. Such regressive politics has been rejected by the people," he added.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi also lauded "each and every NDA Karyakarta".

"Across the length and breadth of India, often braving intense heat. I compliment them for meticulously explaining our development agenda to the people and motivating them to come out and vote. Our Karyakartas are our greatest strength," he said in his X post.

Axis My India for Haryana

NDA: 6-8

INDIA: 2-4

OTH: 0

Today's Chanakya for Punjab

BJP: 4 ± 3 Seats

Congress: 4 ± 3 Seats

AAP: 2 ± 2 Seats

Others: 3 ± 1 Seats

Today's Chanakya for Tamil Nadu

AIADMK+ 0 ± 2 Seats

DMK+ 29 ± 5 Seats

BJP+ 10 ± 4 Seats

Others NIL

Today's Chanakya for Bihar

BJP: +36 ± 4 Seats

Congress: +4 ± 4 Seats

Others: 0 ± 1 Seats

Axis My India projections for Punjab

NDA: 2-4

AAP: 0-2

Congress: 7-9

OTH: 0-1

SAD: 2-3

Republic Bharat projections for Uttar Pradesh

NDA: 69-74

INDIA: 6-11

OTH: 0

India News-D Dynamics projections

NDA: 69

INDIA: 11

OTH: 0

News Nation projections

NDA: 67

INDIA: 10

OTH: 3

Dainik Bhaskar

• NDA: 281-350

• INDIA: 145-201

• OTH: 33-49

India News - D-Dynamics

• NDA: 371

• INDIA: 125

• OTH: 47

India TV - CNX

• NDA: 371-401

• INDIA: 109-139

• OTH: 28-38

Jan Ki Baat

• NDA: 362-392

• INDIA: 141-161

• OTH: 10-20

News Nation

• NDA: 342-378

• INDIA: 153-169

• OTH: 21-23

Republic Bharat - Matrize

• NDA: 353-368

• INDIA: 118-133

• OTH: 43-48

Republic TV - P MARQ

• NDA: 359

• INDIA: 154

• OTH: 30

NDTV Poll of Polls

• NDA: 361

• INDIA: 145

• OTH: 37

Axis My India for Himachal Pradesh

NDA: 4

INDIA: 0

OTH: 0

Axis My India for Uttarakhand

NDA: 5

Congress: 0

OTH: 0

Axis My India projections for Assam

NDA: 9-11

Congress: 2-4

AIUDF: 0

OTH: 0

Karnataka Congress president and deputy chief minister DK Shivakumar said, "I am repeating I don't believe in any exit polls. I am saying with confidence that we will cross double digits in Karnataka."

Union Minister and BJP leader Kailash Choudhary said, "We were always saying this and even the people raised this slogan of 400 paar... According to the exit poll, NDA is winning more than 400 seats and in Rajasthan, BJP is winning all 25 seats... People always had faith in the BJP and the excitement for this was seen throughout the elections."

Former Chhattisgarh Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel said, "There is a common thing that is visible in all the mainstream media, all started exit poll from Tamil Nadu, Kerala and then Karnataka and Telangana...on 4th June, results will come anyway, right now it is the question of TRP."

Senior BJP leader and former Madhya Pradesh CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan said, "Even they (Mallikarjun Kharge) do not believe these statements... They will keep saying something till June 4, but the fact is that PM Modi is the trust of the people of the country. People have voted for PM Modi with faith... I am not worried about my future. I will fulfil whatever duty I get... Nothing is left in Congress or Rahul Gandhi's future anymore... NDA will be '400 paar'."

Today's Chanakya projection for West Bengal

BJP: 24 ± 5 Seats

AITC/TMC: 17 ± 5 Seats

Congress: +1 ± 1 Seats

Others: NIL

India TV - CNX projections

NDA: 371-401

INDIA: 109-139

OTH: 28-38

Republic TV - Matrize

• NDA: 21-25

• INDIA: 0-1

India News - D-Dynamics

• BJP: 21

• INDIA: 2

Republic TV - P MARQ

• NDA: 22

• INDIA: 0

On exit poll results, Union Minister Hardeep Singh Puri said, "Congress and AAP, they are in alliance at one place and against each other in another place... This alliance is a make-believe alliance... Today they gave a delusional figure of 295."

"On June 4, actual results will be out and Rahul Ji will go to Europe. PM Modi's guarantee has become a hit and their figures will be a flop. The family party will say that Kharge Ji is the president and he has created all the mess and he will be changed. I don't know what is wrong with Revanth Reddy. If he thinks that Rahul Gandhi would be the PM, then he is in a cuckoo land...," he added.

Congress leader and candidate from Thiruvananthapuram Shashi Tharoor said, "We have been travelling throughout the country campaigning and have a sense of what is the reality on the ground. Exit polls are deeply unscientific. Last year, the majority of exit polls got the results wrong in Chhattisgarh & Rajasthan."

"What we are interested in is the real poll- the votes of the public...BJP will lose significantly in Karnataka and they certainly won't gain in Kerala and Tamil Nadu," he added.

Axis My India projections for Mizoram

NDA: 0

Congress: 1

OTH: 0

Axis My India projections for Sikkim

NDA: 0

SKM: 0-1

OTH: 0

SDF: 1-0

Today's Chanakya projections for Uttar Pradesh

BJP: +68 ± 7 Seats

Congress: +12 ± 6 Seats

Others: NIL

Axis My India projections for Chandigarh

NDA: 0

INDIA: 1

OTH: 0

Axis My India projections for Andaman and Nicobar Islands

NDA: 1

INDIA: 0

OTH: 0

Projections for Lakshadweep

NDA: 0

Congress: 1

NCP SP: 0

OTH: 0

Axis My India projections for West Bengal

BJP: 26-31

TMC: 11-14

Congress+Left: 0-2

OTH: 0

Axis My India projections for Maharashtra

NDA: 28-32

INDIA: 16-20

OTH: 0-2

Axis My India projections for Telangana

NDA: 11-12

BRS: 0-1

Congress: 4-6

OTH: 0-1

Today's Chanakya released its All India projections for the Lok Sabha elections

• NDA: 400 ± 15 Seats

• INDIA: 107 ± 11 Seats

• OTH: 36 ± 9 Seats

Party-specific:

• BJP: 335 ± 15 Seats

• Congress: 50 ± 11 Seats

ETG Research projections for Lok Sabha elections

NDA: 358

INDIA: 152

OTH: 33

C Voter projections for Lok Sabha elections

NDA: 353-383

INDIA: 152-182

OTH: 04-12

Axis My India projections for Odisha

NDA: 18-20

BJD: 0-2

INDIA: 0-1

OTH: 0

Andhra Pradesh projections by Axis My India

NDA: 21-23

INDIA: 0

OTH: 2-4

YSRCP: 2-4

Axis My India's national projections:

NDA: 361-401

INDIA: 131-166

OTH: 8-20

Axis My India projections for Uttar Pradesh

NDA: 64-67

INDIA: 8-12

OTH: 0-1

AAP MP Sanjay Singh said, "This exit poll has been prepared in the BJP office... Who will believe that BJP is getting a 34% vote share in Tamil Nadu? Who will believe that AAP is winning 0-2 seats in Punjab?"

"The 'Janta ka exit poll' based on the figures shared by INDIA alliance leaders in today's meeting says that we will win more than 295 seats... I am surprised that only 400 seats are to the BJP (in the exit polls)," he added.

Singh further said, "They could have given 700, which could have been possible from 'Akhand Bharat'... The BJP has done a huge 'hera pheri' (foul play) and to hide that, such numbers are shown in the exit polls."

BJP Tamil Nadu president K Annamalai told news agency ANI, "I am equally delighted at the in states like Tamil Nadu, where I belong, the vote share is going up...in Kerala, Telangana and all parts of south India, people have decided that this time they will stand with PM Modi."

"They (INDIA alliance) run such a north-south campaign. People are going to give a fitting answer...June 4 will be the last day when Congress and their alliance partners are going to talk about north-south," Annamalai added.

Taking to X, senior Congress leader Jairam Ramesh said, "The man whose exit is certain on June 4th has had these exit polls orchestrated. The INDIA Janbandhan will definitely get a minimum of 295 seats, which is a clear and decisive majority."

"The outgoing Prime Minister can remain smug for three days in the meanwhile. These are all psychological games he is masterminding but the ACTUAL results will be very different," he added.

Rajasthan minister and BJP leader Rajyavardhan Rathore said, "I want to thank the voters of India, especially Rajasthan...PM Modi has left no stone unturned in taking the country forward...In Rajasthan, we believe that after seeing the bad governance of Congress, they would have pressed the Lotus button only."

ABP News - C Voter

• NDA: 353-383

• INDIA: 152-182

• OTH: 4-12

India Today - Axis My India

• NDA: 361-401

• INDIA: 131-166

• OTH: 8-20

Dainik Bhaskar

• NDA: 281-350

• INDIA: 145-201

• OTH: 33-49

India News - D-Dynamics

• NDA: 371

• INDIA: 125

• OTH: 47

India TV - CNX

• NDA: 371-401

• INDIA: 109-139

• OTH: 28-38

Jan Ki Baat

• NDA: 362-392

• INDIA: 14-161

• OTH: 10-20

News 24 - Today's Chanakya

• NDA: 400

• INDIA: 107

• OTH: 36

News Nation

• NDA: 342-378

• INDIA: 153-169

• OTH: 21-23

Republic Bharat - Matrize

• NDA: 353-368

• INDIA: 118-133

• OTH: 43-48

Republic TV - P MARQ

• NDA: 359

• INDIA: 154

• OTH: 30

Times Now - ETG

• NDA: 358

• INDIA: 152

• OTH: 33

TV 9 Bharatvarsh - Polstrat

• NDA: 342

• INDIA: 166

• OTH: 35

NDTV Poll of Polls

• NDA: 365

• INDIA: 146

• OTH: 32

News18 Mega Exit Poll

• NDA: 355-370

• INDIA: 125-140

• OTH: 42-52