Lok Sabha 2014
284 ⁄ 332
Gujarat
26 ⁄ 26
- As BJP barely made it to power in the 2017 assembly polls, it may lose some seats in 2019
- How far can CM Vijay Rupani manage to regain lost ground?
- Will the Union Budget’s pro-poor, pro-farmer push increase BJP’s popularity?
Rajasthan
25 ⁄ 25
- The rout in byelections signals a reverse sweep against BJP
- Will the BJP replace Vasundhararaje before elections?
- Will the 2014 trend reverse completely in favour of the Congress in 2019?
Uttar Pradesh
73 ⁄ 80
- The unknown BSP factor: Will Mayawati join the SP-Congress alliance?
- Performance of CM Yogi Adityanath will be a factor
- Will Ram Mandir save the day for BJP?
Bihar
31 ⁄ 40
- Laloo Yadav in jail may work against RJD-Congress alliance
- Nitish Kumar’s JD(U), which later became a BJP ally, won two seats on its own
- Will “mausam vaigyanik”—a Lalooism to describe Ram Vilas Paswan—remain a BJP ally?
Madhya Pradesh
27 ⁄ 29
- Anti-incumbency works against Shivraj Singh Chouhan
- Whatever the assembly poll results later this year, a clean sweep for BJP is not likely in 2019
- Congress is a divided house with three leaders working against one another
Maharashtra
42 ⁄ 48
- Will Shiv Sena remain in alliance with BJP or go it alone as it has threatened?
- Will NCP leader Sharad Pawar fight alone, making it a four-corner contest again?
- Will CM Devendra Fadnavis’ work override Maratha sentiments?
Chhattisgarh
10 ⁄ 11
- A repeat performance seems unlikely with strong anti-incumbency
- Congress’ state unit is almost defunct with no leadership
- The Ajit Jogi factor: Whose votes will his party eat into?
Jharkhand
12 ⁄ 14
- Difficult for BJP to repeat its 2014 performance as the Opposition may have gained
- Can BJP overcome the infighting and discontent among the MLAs against the CM?
- If JMM, Congress and RJD come together, it will be a big challenge
Karnataka
17 ⁄ 28
- Siddaramaiah is giving a good fight to BJP and taking on PM Narendra Modi
- Caste combination in the state is in his favour
- Will B.S. Yediyurappa be able to provide sound leadership to BJP?
Assam
7 ⁄ 14
- With a strengthened organisation in the state, BJP may improve its performance
- The publication of National Register of Citizens (NRC)—seen as protecting Assam’s identity—may help BJP
- Strong presence of RSS cadres
Delhi
7 ⁄ 7
- A genuine three-corner contest on the cards
- BJP unlikely to repeat a clean sweep
- AAP and Congress may eat into each other’s votes
Haryana
7 ⁄ 10
- Manohar Lal Khattar’s poor performance as CM
- Corruption cases against Congress leader and former CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda
- Leadership crisis in Congress with Ashok Tanwar and R.S. Surjewala contending with Hooda
*The figures include BJP’s allies during the general election
